
Loyalty was not where they thought
The client wanted to know how its farmer customers actually buy, from four years of its own order data rather than from opinion. The data existed. It was not usable.
The problem
The order history was there, and it could not answer the question. Rows carried missing or junk addresses. Deliveries were recorded with zero volume. There was no segmentation, so nothing separated a farmer who buys every season from one who bought once and never returned.
The first four weeks of the sprint went on building the dataset rather than reading it. Two hundred thousand rows came down to 175,386 through four cleaning passes, each of which had to be decided on and documented rather than guessed at.
What the sprint set out to do
Analyse four years of buying behaviour by geography, by distributor, by product line and by point in the season. Establish who stays loyal, who skips a season and returns, and which distributors hold which customers. Then hand over a reusable analysis tool and a manual so the client could keep asking the question without asking again.
The answer that mattered was not the headline loyalty rate. It was that loyalty is not uniform: the strongest region runs eleven points ahead of the weakest, and a third of the most loyal farmers buy through more than one distributor.
Loyalty is a regional fact, not a national one
Customers by how many seasons they ordered in, per region.
| Region | Customers | Ordered every season | Skipped three |
|---|---|---|---|
| All regions | 24,499 | 43.6% | 22.4% |
| Region 1 | 7,275 | 49.2% | 19.7% |
| Region 2 | 3,954 | 42.5% | 24.0% |
| Region 3 | 4,922 | 38.1% | 25.0% |
| Region 4 | 5,070 | 42.0% | 23.7% |
| Region 5 | 3,365 | 42.3% | 21.4% |
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