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Client€3B global chemical company
SprintAn 8-10 week sprint
Fieldwork15 stakeholder interviews · 4 industry peers benchmarked
Supply Chain and Sustainability

A capability you cannot rerun is a report

The situation

The client wanted a capability it could run again

An 8 to 10 week sprint, from June 2025. A global chemical company of around €3B revenue. A standalone piece, not part of a series.

The client set its objective as an internal capability. That ruled out a single study and shaped how we ran the sprint. Two constraints stood in the way.

Capacity. Core teams were already handling ESG and reporting demands. No one had time to design risk scenarios for each site and function.

Method. The company had no standard way to assess physical risk, meaning damage from events such as floods, heat and storms, or transition risk, meaning costs from policy, market and technology shifts toward a low carbon economy, across regions.

The stakes were concrete: missed disclosure deadlines, investor scrutiny and climate disruption to operations, with potential impact running to millions of euros.

Why it had not been solved

Each region assessed risk its own way, so no one could compare the results

The method gap showed up in three ways.

Fragmented knowledge. Each site and function held part of the picture.

Unclear responsibility. No one owned the job of assembling the whole.

Inconsistent scenario planning. Sites worked from different scenario definitions.

The third is the root cause. Asking more people fixes the first. Naming an owner fixes the second. Without a common scenario definition, two sites can each answer carefully and still produce results no one can compare.

Timing also worked against an internal fix. Disclosure comes with a deadline, and building a standard does not. A team asked to do both will meet the deadline first.

How we approached it

We fixed the scenario definition first, then gathered evidence against it

  1. Map the regulatory and scenario landscape

    We consolidated regulatory frameworks, scenario types and internal capabilities into one approach aligned with TCFD, the framework of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures and a widely used standard for climate risk reporting.

  2. Gather evidence inside and outside the company

    We held 15 stakeholder interviews with site and function leads, and benchmarked 4 industry peers through public disclosures and interviews.

  3. Build the matrices and the methodology

    We developed climate risk matrices that rate each risk on the same basis for every site and function, plus a repeatable method to run the assessment again.

Two design choices made the output repeatable.

Definition before collection. Interviews held before anyone defines a scenario produce informed opinions on different questions. We consolidated the frameworks first, so all 15 interviews answered the same question.

Peers as a control. The 4 peers show whether an exposure belongs to this company or to the whole sector. A company manages a risk every peer carries differently from one it carries alone.

What we delivered

27 risks, €7M in value, and a method the client now owns

  1. 27 high impact risks and opportunities

    Across multiple sites and functions, over short, medium and long term horizons. We report the count only, because the specific risks are the company’s own exposure.

  2. €7M of strategic value identified

    A one time estimate of potential value from avoided compliance costs, mitigated climate risks and captured growth opportunities.

  3. Tailored climate risk matrices

    Built to the company’s own sites and functions, so results from one site compare directly with another.

  4. A repeatable assessment methodology

    It lets the company rerun the other three without us. This is the deliverable the objective asked for.

What changed for the client

The company holds the method to run its next assessment itself

Before the sprintAfter the handover
No standard approach across regionsOne structured approach, aligned with TCFD
Knowledge spread across sites and functions27 risks and opportunities on one definition
No owner for the assessmentAn owner role recommended, for the company to appoint
Inconsistent scenario planningA repeatable methodology the company runs itself

The test of a transferred capability is the second assessment. If the company runs it without outside help, the transfer worked.

What we recommended

Name an owner, set a date, and use the €7M as a map

  1. Assign an owner to the methodology

    Risk registers age, and teams expect that. The methodology keeps its value, yet companies often lose it because it does not look like a deliverable.

  2. Rerun the assessment on a fixed date

    A team that waits for an event before reviewing its scenarios can only react. A fixed date makes the review routine.

  3. Use the €7M to show where value sits

    Strategic planning decides which part to pursue. The sprint did not make that call.

Scope of the result

Identified, not realised, and not yet rerun

27 risks and opportunities are identified. The sprint mitigated none of them.

€7M is identified value. The company has not realised it, it is not revenue, and we report no financial outcome.

The methodology is handed over and not yet rerun. The company’s second assessment, which had not taken place at handover, will show whether the capability transferred.

Source. All figures come from the SprintlyWorks engagement record for Climate Risk Scenario Assessment, a global chemical company with around €3B in revenue, June 2025: 15 stakeholder interviews, 4 industry peers benchmarked, 27 high impact risks and opportunities identified and €7M of strategic value identified. We describe clients without naming them. The specific risks, sites, functions and scenarios are the company’s own exposure and appear nowhere here.

The next step

Buy the first assessment. Run the second yourself.

We run 8 to 10 week sprints for industrial companies that face a defined decision and have no spare team to take it. You get named people, one defined question, and the evidence in your hands at handover.

Outside help makes sense for the first assessment. The people who would run it are busy meeting the reporting cycle, and they have no common scenario definition to work from.

After that, the case for outside help should fall away. A methodology that only its author can operate has failed, however good the report attached to it.

Before you scope work like this, ask one question. What will your team run without us the second time? If the answer is nothing, you are buying a report.

Tell us the question. We will tell you whether a sprint can answer it, what it would take, and what you would hold at the end. If a sprint is the wrong tool, we will say so. Write to rahul.abhisek@sprintlyworks.com.

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