Chemical Industry, Sustainability

Climate Risk Scenario Assessment

Problem Statement

ChemicalCo aimed to build internal climate risk assessment capabilities to align with investor and regulatory expectations. However, core teams lacked the time and methodology to design site- and function-specific risk scenarios while managing ongoing ESG and reporting demands.

There was no standardized approach to assess physical and transition risks across regions. Knowledge was fragmented, responsibilities unclear, and scenario planning inconsistent.

Without structured support, ChemicalCo risked missed disclosure deadlines, investor scrutiny, and unpreparedness for climate-linked operational disruptions, with potential impact in the multi-million euro range.

Key Objectives

  • Map and consolidate regulatory frameworks, scenario types, and internal capabilities to build a structured approach aligned with TCFD.

  • Engage and capture risk insights from site and function leads through collaborative interviews and synthesis.

  • Develop and deliver tailored climate risk matrices and a repeatable assessment methodology to inform strategic planning and disclosure.

Outcomes

27

high-impact risks & opportunities identified. Uncovered across multiple sites and functions, covering short-, medium-, and long-term time horizons.

€7M

strategic value potential unlocked. Represents potential value from avoided compliance costs, mitigated climate risks, and captured growth opportunities.

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